The Value View Gold Report
The premier newsletter on Gold. Published monthly and delivered to you by email.
We cover Gold in U.S. $, Canadian $, Euros, British Pounds, Chinese Yuan, and Indian Rupee.
Analytical facts only, to aid you in buying Gold.

We are Bullish on Gold! We turned bullish in 2015 when most analysts were still bears!

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The Value View Gold Report
"Disciplined Analysis of Gold"

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Recent web cast at this link:

Schmidt 5 September
      LISTEN TO  Ned's Random Gold
Thoughts
in Podcast form.
Can be found at the bottom.

Ned's Random Gold Thoughts

Our Basic Position is BULLISH!


06 December 2017

$Gold: $1,263   
Change Year Ago: + 8%
200-Day Moving Average   $1,271 - $ 8
Short-Term Oscillator: 0% BUY
Intermediate Oscillator: 29% Over Sold
Second Important Low(15 Dec 16)  $1,123 +12%
Bear Market Low(17 Dec 15)   $1,046 +21%

$Silver:   $15.94
% Change Year Ago: - 4%
200-Day Moving Average: $17.00 -$1.06
Short-Term Oscillator: 0% BUY
Intermediate Oscillator: 15% BUY

Sent to Subscribers Tuesday, 5 Dec:

Year end selling of precious metals stronger than expected
which is creating opportunity.

Had expected selling to occur next week around FOMC meeting.

Intermediate buy signal on Silver Wednesday, 6 Dec.

Intermediate buy signal on Gold Friday, 8 Dec.

NASDAQ momentum broke yesterday, Monday.

Strong likelihood that precious metals will out
perform NASDAQ in 2018.


18 October 2017

$Gold: $1,280
Change Year Ago: + 1%
200-Day Moving Average   $1,261 + $ 19
Short-Term Oscillator: 35% Moving to Over Sold
Intermediate Oscillator: 52% Neutral
Second Important Low(15 Dec 16)  $1,123 +14%
Bear Market Low(17 Dec 15)   $1,046 +22%

$Silver:   $17.00
% Change Year Ago: - 4%
200-Day Moving Average: $17.16 -$0.161
Short-Term Oscillator: 48% Moving to Over Sold
Intermediate Oscillator: 60% Neutral

U.S. dollar has rallied from an over sold condition this past month. Part of that
is the belief that Federal Reserve will again raise interest rates in December.
Each time the dollar has been rallied, and Gold pushed lower, in anticipation
of Federal Reserve action has been a good time to add to Gold.

Another part of the reason Gold has been pushed lower is that three vacancies
exist on the board of governors for the Federal Reserve. A new vice chairman
has been named making current board with only four members. An important
appointment as the new year approaches is the next Chairman,
as Yellen’s term is expiring.

One of the names being suggested is John Taylor, a college professor. He is
known for the Taylor Rule which is a mechanical rule for setting interest rates.
That rule currently suggest U.S. interest rates should be three times higher
than current rates. Street immediately decided that he would immediately send
U.S. interest rates higher if named Chairman. Given that 2018 is a U.S. election
year, that expectation is borderline nonsense.

Gold is rapidly moving toward over sold. Short-term oscillator projected to
give a buy signal on Monday. Intermediate oscillator, due to time component,
will not do so until Friday, the 27th. That suggests that sometime next week
would be a buying opportunity.

Updated sample newsletters above.


Emailed to subscribers on 17 September 2017

Value View Gold Report Signals Update

$Gold: $1320
$Silver: $17.55

15 Sep(FRI): Gold Short-Term Oscillator Buy Signal

18 Sep(MON): Silver Short-term Oscillator Buy Signal

19 Sep(TUE): FOMC meeting begins

20 Sep(WED): FOMC Policy Announcement

21 Sep(THU): Gold Intermediate Term Oscillator Buy Signal Projected

22 Sep(FRI): Silver Intermediate Term Oscillator Buy Signal Projected

If Gold does turn up on FOMC meeting, intermediate signals likely to be abrogated.

As we have observed over time, FOMC meetings have been
associated with positive times to buy Gold.
Price of Gold is often pushed down in anticipation of these events by juveniles traders.
A similar development seems to be unfolding around this week’s FOMC meeting.

Note that Board of Federal Reserve has only 4 sitting members
out of 7 prescribed by law.
One of those is retiring in October.
One appointment is in process to replace retiring individual.
President has named that one candidate and has to name
three more to get board to full size.

Given the Board situation and uncertain economic consequences of
Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, do not expect an interest rate increase.
That should be positive for Gold.

Best guess would be Gold makes low on Monday or Tuesday,
but most likely Tuesday morning.

Will FOMC announce beginning of balance sheet unwinding?
Doubtful given the board situation and with Yellen’s term
as Chairman ending in February 2018.

Note that when FOMC does begin unwinding of balance sheet may
be many uninformed comments about “shrinking” the quantity
of dollar money, and how dollar should appreciate.
A sale of bonds by the Federal Reserve to a bank
has NO impact on U.S. money supply.
Bank would pay for bonds through its Federal Reserve account.
Banks currently have more than $2 trillion of excess reserves with which
to buy bonds. Those reserves are NOT part of the money supply.



Recent web cast at this link:

Schmidt 9 September  Segment 3
GOLDMONEY

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Ned's Gold Thoughts

Podcast for 10 December 2017

PODCAST 10 DECEMBER 2017