The Value View Gold Report
The premier newsletter on Gold. Published monthly and delivered to you by email.
We cover Gold in U.S. $, Canadian $, Euros, British Pounds, Chinese Yuan, and Indian Rupee.
Analytical facts only, to aid you in buying Gold.

We are Bullish on Gold! We turned bullish in 2015 when most analysts were still bears!
OUR FORCAST IS NOW $GOLD AT $1,900-2,100 IN 2017.

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Our latest Webcast at this link(3 Aug):
Schmidt Webcast
READ: Ned's Random Gold Thoughts
can be found at the bottom.

Ned's Random Gold Thoughts

Our Basic Position is BULLISH!

19 August 2016

$Gold: $1,345
% Change Year Ago: +17%
200-Day Moving Average   $1,223   +$122
Short-Term Oscillator:    48%   Neutral
Intermediate Oscillator:   39%   Neutral

$Silver:   $19.30
% Change Year Ago: +24 %
200-Day Moving Average: $16.4   +$2.89
Short-Term Oscillator: 8%   Oversold Buy Signal
Intermediate Oscillator:   11%   Oversold Buy signal

% Change Year Ago For Comparison:
S&P 500: +5%
                            NASDAQ 100: +7%                      
TSLA -12%
AAPL - 5%

In August letter, which came out on Monday, we thought that both $Gold and $Silver
would give buy signals this weeks. Gold bounced, and failed to do deliver. However,
Silver continues over sold and buy signal continues.
       
Investors seem to continue somewhat fixated on possibility of a U.S. interest rate
increase. Given the frailty of the economic data and the political situation in the U.S., a
rate increase in the U.S. prior to January is highly unlikely. What is baffling is that
despite this worry investors continue to chase the nonsense which dominates the
NASDAQ 100. And we add, the dollar is breaking down which suggests some are
starting to give up on a rate increase anytime soon. And yes, all this does
sound a little confused. But, when did Street last make sense?

With U.S. not likely to raise rates till the new year, the case for the U.S. dollars is in
shamble which makes Gold and Silver extremely attractive at these prices.



4 August 2016

$Gold: $1,361
% Change Year Ago: +25%
200-Day Moving Average   $1,207   +$154
Short-Term Oscillator:    97%   Overbought
Intermediate Oscillator:   77%   Overbought


$Silver:   $20.30
% Change Year Ago: +39 %
200-Day Moving Average: $16.1   +$4.20
Short-Term Oscillator: 84%   Overbought
Intermediate Oscillator:   69%   Neutral

% Change Year Ago For Comparison:
S&P 500: +3%
NASDAQ 100: +4%                      
TSLA -16%
AAPL - 8%

Both metals came into this week overbought, especially on short-term oscillators.
We may see a rolling consolidation that dampens the overbought conditions.
Do not foresee anything that would gives us a sharper sell off to create a buying
opportunity. U.S. labor report on Friday, the 5th, is only possibility.

Our theme continues to be that Gold is in a Global Bull Market. Part of that
view is that central banks around the world will continue to act irresponsibly,
reducing the real value of currencies on a global basis. Bank of England gave some
confirmation of that view today. BOE lowered interest rates and more quantitative
easing of £100 billion. All of this is due to fear of Brexit, nothing real.
Nothing is know about when Brexit process will start or what shape in might take.
But, it was an opportunity to ease.
              
Recorded a web cast for financialsurvival.com and it is available at the top of the site.


22 July 2016

$Gold: $1,323
% Change Year Ago: +21%
200-Day Moving Average   $1,198   +$125
Short-Term Oscillator:    19%   Oversold; Buy signal triggered
Intermediate Oscillator:   19%   Oversold, Buy signal triggered on Wednesday

$Silver:   $19.60
% Change Year Ago: +33 %
200-Day Moving Average: $15.9   +$3.70
Short-Term Oscillator: 20%   Oversold, Buy signal triggered this week.
Intermediate Oscillator:   41%   Neutral

% Change Year Ago For Comparison:
S&P 500: +3%
                         NASDAQ 100: +1%                      
TSLA -17%
AAPL -21%

This past week expectations of Federal Reserve raising rates and a new, exciting
investment them, Pokemon GO, enouraged the $Gold consolidation to continue. To get
straight to the point, the Federal Reserve is not going to raise interest rates next week in
the midst of the Democratic convention. Federal Reserve unlikely, due to U.S. election,
to not raise rates till perhaps December, if then. We doubt too that Pokemon Go will
make much money.

$Gold became over sold this past week. We emailed to subscriber that buy signal
on Wednesday. Over sold condition continues and buying is advised. Silver more
stubborn. Does not seem to want to go down except on days of heavy fund selling.
             
Recorded a web cast for financialsense.com
Should be somewhere on web site in day or so.


8 July 2016

$Gold: $1,354
% Change Year Ago: +17%
200-Day Moving Average   $1,190   +$164
Short-Term Oscillator:    78%   Overbought                         
Intermediate Oscillator:   86%   Overbought

$Silver:   $19.80
% Change Year Ago: +29 %
200-Day Moving Average: $15.7   +$4.10
Short-Term Oscillator: 75%   Overbought
Intermediate Oscillator:   85%   Overbought

% Change Year Ago For Comparison:
               S&P 500: +4%  NASDAQ 100: +4%                      

Global bull market in Gold and Silver continues. Important to remember that
Brexit is not the reason Gold is up. It was simply one event in the unfolding bull
market. Gold rose because it is correcting the under valuation of that asset
versus financial assets. Gold was spurred higher by governments and central
banks continue to make stupid mistakes. If the EU had not become a tyrannical
bureaucracy, English voters would not have voted to leave. We can count
on governments and centrals banks to continuing to make mistakes.
For example, due to Brexit FOMC is unlikely to raise U.S. interest rates
until perhaps December.
            
That all said, both Gold and Silver are seriously over bought. A period of rest is needed.
That resting period may be brought on by latest U.S. labor report. Earliest we project a
buy signal is on the short-term oscillator late next week.

Hope all of you are enjoying being right. Had you listened to the Street experts
a year ago you might have lost a lot of your money.  AAPL -20%    TSLA -15%



1 July 2016
WE WERE RIGHT, AGAIN!
$Gold hight today $1,345.
$Gold up 15% from a year ago.
$Silver high today $19.98.
$Silver up 25% from a year ago.

NASDAQ 100 UP 0.2% from a year ago.
S&P 500 up 1.2% from a year ago.

Over the past year we heard more than one clueless analyst forecast
Gold going to $900. Other analysts said put all your money in AAPL,
now down 24% from a year ago.

We really feel sorry for people listening to these analysts.



24 June 2016

$Gold:   $1,1318
$Silver:    $17.73
 
Year-to-Year % Change:
$Gold   +12%
$Silver   +12%
S&P 500   -5%
NASDAQ 100   -8%


Today we don’t need to say much about charts or resistance. No price resistance
exists now. At one point last night $Gold was up more than a hundred dollars
as every last drop of bodily fluids was squeezed out of the shorts.
To that we simply say:   ROFLMAO

No resistance exist to prevent price of Gold going higher. That said, no market
moves straight up.  Investors need to use the corrections and consolidations
that will develop to add to Gold positions. That means our buy signals will
be especially valuable in the coming year.

We expect that $1,400 will be next level where Gold might hesitate.

We reassert our forecast that Gold will go above $1,900 in 2017.

Link to web cast at top has been updated to latestL

Link to latest Investment Results Summary:
Investment Results Summary


17 June 2016

$Gold: $1,293
% Change Year Ago: +8%
200-Day Moving Average   $1,176   +$117
Short-Term Oscillator:    78%   Overbought                         
Intermediate Oscillator:   84%   Overbought

$Silver:   $17.40
% Change Year Ago: +8%
200-Day Moving Average: $15.40   +$2.00
Short-Term Oscillator: 82%   Overbought
Intermediate Oscillator:   86%   Overbought

% Change Year Ago For Comparison:
S&P 500: -2%
NASDAQ 100:  -2%                   

FOMC demonstrated that it lacks any intellectual integrity. Failure to act on
U.S. interest rates in June means that no action will take place before September.
This action gives Gold a big, bright green light to move higher. Gold promptly
made a new cycle high at $1,316.
        
In doing so Gold became extremely overbought, as one would expect at a
new cycle high. On Thursday some kind of correction from that high should
have been expected. Reaction was stronger than it should have been as the Street
temporarily declared Brexit dead. It is not.

All of this action is essentially good. Move to well above $1,300 means that
level is no longer significant resistance. That level should now become a floor
for Gold. With the Federal Reserve abandoning any pretense of being a disciplined
central bank, $Gold’s path of least resistance is up. But always remember,
markets do not move in a straight line.


$Gold is priced as it was in 2007.

Read at this link:

$Gold: Year 2007 Again  
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Email: ned@valueviewgoldreport.com