The Value View Gold Report
The premier newsletter on Gold. Published monthly and delivered to you by email.
We cover Gold in U.S. $, Canadian $, Euros, British Pounds, Chinese Yuan, and Indian Rupee.
Analytical facts only, to aid you in buying Gold.

We are Bullish on Gold! We turned bullish in 2015 when most analysts were still bears!
OUR FORCAST IS NOW $GOLD AT $1,900-2,100 IN 2017.

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The Value View Gold Report click on this link:      Value View Gold Report  
The Value View Gold Report
"Disciplined Analysis of Gold"

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Our latest Webcast at this link(18 March):
Schmidt Webcast
READ: Ned's Random Gold Thoughts
can be found at the bottom.

Ned's Random Gold Thoughts

Our Basic Position
From the lows of July, Gold is a double and Silver is a triple.


22 April 2016

$Gold:   $1,244
One Year % Change:   +4%   
200-Day Moving Average: $1,146   +$ 98  
Intermediate Signal Oscillator:   64%   Neutral
Short-Term Signal Oscillator: 66%   Neutral

$Silver:   $17.3
One Year % Change:   + 9%
200-Day Moving Average: $14.95  +$2.35  
Intermediate Signal Oscillator:   97%   Overbought             
Short-Term Signal Oscillator:   91%   Overbought

For comparison one year % change:
NASDAQ 100   +2%
S&P 500   -0%

Given that $Gold is in a bull market, we brought back our short-term oscillator.
Be careful with this one. It is meant to give some guidance on extremely short-term
moves. Investors should focus on the intermediate term oscillator.

Silver this past week confirmed the bull market in Gold. Silver both broke through
$17 to a new cycle intra day high of $17.78, kitco.com basis. Second, the
year-to-year percentage change went positive. Both of these actions were important,
and reinforced the view that bull markets in both metals now exist.

This past week the teenage traders at speculative funds tried to resurrect the view
that the dollar will appreciate based on Federal Reserve raising interest rates. That
futile effort caused metals and commodities to retreat on Thursday. That action
was overdue as all were over bought.

Prices to watch are $17.8 for Silver and first $1,272 for Gold with a second price of
interest of $1,285. Moves through those prices would encourage more buying.



8 April 2016

$Gold:   $1,238
One Year % Change:   + 4%   
200-Day Moving Average: $1,140   +$ 98  
Intermediate Signal Oscillator:   60%  Neutral
Short-Term Signal Oscillator:   90%  Overbought

$Silver:   $15.3
One Year % Change:   - 5%
200-Day Moving Average: $14.9  +$0.43  
Intermediate Signal Oscillator:   41%   Neutral                
Short-Term Signal Oscillator:   68%   Neutral

Despite the excellent performance of Gold and the equities related to Gold,
the investment community continues to pray for the Federal Reserve to save
them from their portfolios. Clearly the investment world has changed in
past 8 months. Fantasy stocks no longer reign supreme. What that all means is
that Gold has still not moved into mainstream thinking.
When $Gold cross $1,300, they will start becoming bullish.

On Gold, important price to watch for is $1,286.

On Silver, important prices to watch for $16.25.

Also, 14 April is next release date for U.S. CPI.
Could be a surprise, and last good number on US inflation.


25 March 2016

$Gold:   $1,216
One Year % Change:   +2%   
200-Day Moving Average: $1,137   +$ 79  
Intermediate Signal Oscillator:   21%, Oversold, Buy Signal Possible Next Week
Short-Term Signal Oscillator: 2% Oversold Buy Signal Monday

$Silver:   $15.2
One Year % Change:   -10%
200-Day Moving Average: $14.9  +$0.28  
Intermediate Signal Oscillator:   38%   Neutral                
Short-Term Signal Oscillator:   6% Oversold, Buy Signal Monday

For comparison one year % change:
NASDAQ 100   -1%
S&P 500   -3%

Given that $Gold is in a bull market, we are bringing back our short-term oscillator.
Be careful with this one. It is meant to give some guidance on extremely
short-term moves. Investors should focus on the intermediate term oscillator.

Teenager traders needed something to trade last week so they went back to
the dollar is going up as the FOMC raises interest rates story line. This story is
getting tired and worn, and is an indication of the juvenile trading mentality of
the Street. In any event, that thinking pushed the dollar up and gave traders a
reason to further sell Gold. As it had been seriously over bought previously,
this move was not entirely unexpected.

This thinking will be creating an opportunity in Gold in the coming week. Further,
as FOMC is only going to raise rates twice this year, and that is somewhat doubtful,
attention will turn to other factors. For example, in 2015 the U.S. trade deficit
with China was a record $365 billion. Currencies of nations with that size trade
deficit do not over time appreciate.


18 March 2016

$Gold: $1,252
Signal Oscillator:  53%  Neutral
200-Day Moving Average:   $1,137   +$115

$Silver: $15.84
Intermediate Oscillator:   79% Slightly Over Bought
200-Day Moving Average:   $14.93   +$0.91

Obviously we did not get an intermediate buy signal for $Gold this week as
the FOMC announcement pushed $Gold up. Change in policy on interest rates
ended any doubts that dollar rally was over. Dollar had already peaked in January.

Mailed out March issue of Value View Gold Report on Tuesday. In it was first
explanation of our new price targets for the coming year.
We are using $1,900-2,100 for early 2017, sometime in January to March.

Updated web cast at top of page.

Silver made an important move this morning to a high of $16.23. It needs to move
through $16.25-16.50, and this was first attempt at that resistance. Silver high
observable on kitco.com silver page.


5 March 2016

$Gold:   $1,259
One Year % Change:   +5%   
200-Day Moving Average: $1,133   +$126  
Signal Oscillator:   69%, Neutral, Overbought

$Silver:   $15.5
One Year % Change:   -4%
200-Day Moving Average: $15   +$0.5  
Signal Oscillator:   43%   Neutral, Oversold

Perhaps the most amazing part of the recent Gold rally is the continuing denial
of its existence on the part of the investment and business media. With $Gold
having risen by more than 20% from the low, a new bull market has started.
That reality is rarely reported. Gold now in Wave 1 of an Elliot Major Wave III
with target of $1,900-$2,100 in January/February 2017.

Gold is now correcting from intra day $1,280, and needs to do so. Markets do
not go straight up. They surge into new price territory and then consolidate

On Silver, important prices to watch are $16 and $16.5.


19 February 2016

$Gold:   $1,230
Signal Oscillator:   75%   Neutral/Over Bought   
200-Day Moving Average:   $1,131   +$99
Year-To-Year Percent Change: +2%

$Silver:   $15.35
Signal Oscillator:   54%   Neutral
200-Day Moving Average:   $15.06   +$0.31
Year-To-Year Percent Change:  -6%

Gold has certainly defied all the bears, and has now performed better than
most stock markets over the past year. Both Gold and Silver are trading above
their 200-day moving average. Each day it does that makes it harder for the
bears to defend their position. That said, Gold does seem in need of continuing
to rest. Intra day high was about $1,164 so it is process of doing so.

Important price levels to watch are listed here. Would like to see Gold trade
above each price for about a day.

$1,257 is up 20% from the low.
Article writers will start to declare Gold in a bull market.

$1,265 would make for a new, and decisive, intra day high.


12 February 2016

We are busy writing the February newsletter, so out time is devoted to
that effort. In the past week $Gold has come alive, and taken out all
relevant short-term resistance. That said, a modest correction was needed
and seems to be in process. Should continue into next week.
Tuesday will be the interesting day.
Chinese market reopens on Monday and U.S. markets are closed.

So optimistic we are offering for the first time ever,
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$Gold is priced as it was in 2007.

Read at this link:

$Gold: Year 2007 Again  
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NEW    US Inflation: Setup To Upset Link:  US Inflaton