The Value View Gold Report
The premier newsletter on Gold. Published monthly and delivered to you by email.
We cover Gold in U.S. $, Canadian $, Euros, British Pounds, Chinese Yuan, and Indian Rupee.
Analytical facts only, to aid you in buying Gold.

We are Bullish on Gold! We turned bullish in 2015 when most analysts were still bears!
OUR FORCAST IS NOW $GOLD AT $1,900-2,100 IN 2017.

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Recent web cast at this link:

Schmidt 20 March
READ: Ned's Random Gold Thoughts
can be found at the bottom.

Ned's Random Gold Thoughts

Our Basic Position is BULLISH!

17 April 2017

We updated sample issues available at the top.


7 April 2017

$Gold: $1,265
% Change Year Ago: + 2%
200-Day Moving Average   $1,252   +$14
Short-Term Oscillator:   85% Over Bought
Intermediate Oscillator: 72%   Neutral
Second Important Low(15 Dec 16)  $1,123
Bear Market Low(17 Dec 15)   $1,046

$Silver:   $18.32  
% Change Year Ago: +20%                        
200-Day Moving Average: $17.93 +$0.40
Short-Term Oscillator: 82% Over Bought
Intermediate Oscillator:   94% Over Bought

Well, a butterfly flapped its wings in the Middle East. Where will the hurricane strike?

Interesting developments after Syrian strike. Was no “rush to safety in the dollar”.
Rather, Gold and Silver made new intra day cycle highs.
For Gold intra day high $1,272 and $18.54 for Silver.

Street’s respone? Buy more stocks. Gosh, them people are dumber than rocks.
I would bury my money in the backyard before letting any of them manage it.

Gold now above the 200-day moving average. The $1,250 resistance has been
violated, and has little or no meaning. However, a chance that next week teenage
traders may try to bring it back down somewhat.
BUT, the path of least resistance is now up.

Time to get a free 3 month trial subscription. Use “Contact Us” button at top of page.

New webcast to be posted at top later this weekend.



23 March 2017

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17 March 2017

$Gold: $1,230
% Change Year Ago: - 2%
200-Day Moving Average   $1,260   -$30
Short-Term Oscillator:   98% Over Bought
Intermediate Oscillator: 48%   Neutral
Second Important Low(15 Dec 16)  $1,123
Bear Market Low(17 Dec 15)   $1,046

$Silver:   $17.35  
% Change Year Ago: + 9%
200-Day Moving Average: $18.08 -$0.73
Short-Term Oscillator: 100% Over Bought
Intermediate Oscillator:   55% Neutral

For a week before prior to FOMC meeting we advised subscribers that Gold
was a buy. FOMC has now been good to Gold three times in a row.
Strong rally on FOMC meeting punished sellers of all kinds.         

Dollar bulls, Gold bears, were wrong again. Dollar finishing one of its worst week.
Seems to be breaking through resistance on our dollar index. Hong Kong and China
both have moved rates higher on U.S. rate increase. Increasingly likely other central
banks will follow U.S. rates higher. That would effectively end the dollar rally story.

A lot of people ignoring the old adage that stocks have a problem when central bank,
FOMC, raise rates three times. Well, how about when they raise rates for
fourth and fifth time? Those are now coming this year. Impact of three rate
increases is first felt in momentum, or the rate of return on stocks.
Gold is definitely the preferred investment to U.S. stocks at this time.

Price to watch for: $,1266 on $Gold!

Want a 3 month trial subscription? Email: ned@valueviewgoldreport.com

       
25 February 2017

$Gold: $1,256
% Change Year Ago: + 2%
200-Day Moving Average   $1,265   -$ 8
Short-Term Oscillator:   91% Over Bought
Intermediate Oscillator: 84%   Over Bought
Second Important Low(15 Dec 16)  $1,123
Bear Market Low(17 Dec 15)   $1,046

$Silver:   $18.33
% Change Year Ago: +21%                        
200-Day Moving Average: $18.07 +$0.26
Short-Term Oscillator: 100% Over Bought
Intermediate Oscillator:   82% Over Bought

Apologize for my absence, but some medical matters interfered with my work
schedule this past month. Hopefully, that is over.

Updated one of the webcasts at the top of the page. In it talk about two
bull markets, one in metals and other in agriculture.

Silver continues to be the best indicator of what is happening, and is likely
to happen to Gold. Silver ended the week above $18, and above the 200-day
moving average. Silver has ignored a lot of the nonsensical trading in Gold.
Intra day high for Silver, kitco.com basis, $18.47. Move above that level early
next week should point to higher prices.

Smarter money is moving into Gold. While “everyone” knows the bull market
in NASDAQ 100 will “go on forever”, some realize that the risk in equities
is dramatically high. Gold closed the week just shy of 200-day moving average
and at what looks like major chart resistance. However, as we talk in the new webcast
above, that over head resistance is imaginary. It is not there anymore.
Ignore technical discussions of threat of that “over head supply”.

Dollar trade is broken, and that should be supportive of Gold.


25 January 2017

$Gold: $1,198
% Change Year Ago: + 7%
200-Day Moving Average   $1,267   -$ 69
Short-Term Oscillator:   15% Over Sold / Short-term Buy
Intermediate Oscillator: 49%   Neutral
Second Important Low(15 Dec 16)  $1,123
Bear Market Low(17 Dec 15)   $1,046

$Silver:   $16.95
% Change Year Ago: +17%                        
200-Day Moving Average: $17.9 -$1.05
Short-Term Oscillator: 31% Over Sold
Intermediate Oscillator:   53% Neutral

One can imagine the look on faces of traders this week. Spittle is running down
their chins, and eyes are red from staring at screens all day. Their dreams are
about to come true. The Trump rally is going to make them all rich. Already,
some are talking 21,000 and 25,000 on the DJIA. If dreams generated wealth,
all would already be rich. When emotional exuberance is driving a market, beware.

Gold, after some time of doing quite well, naturally responded to the equity
markets in Trump mania. As indicated above, the short-term oscillator is
moving to a buy signal. We generally prefer the intermediate oscillator as
short-term oscillator can change rapidly. That intermediate measure may give
a buy signal next week.

With equities up, Gold is still the bargain and best opportunity. Intraday high recently
was $1,220.70, kitco.com basis. Move above that price would draw money to Gold.
That said, we may need to trade sideways to down into next week.

Dollar trade is broken, and that should be supportive of Gold.


7 January 2017

$Gold: $1,172
% Change Year Ago: + 6%
200-Day Moving Average   $1,271   -$ 99
Short-Term Oscillator:   96% Over Bought
Intermediate Oscillator: 82%   Over Bought
Second Important Low(15 Dec 16)  $1,123
Bear Market Low(17 Dec 15)   $1,046

$Silver:   $16.45
% Change Year Ago: +15%                        
200-Day Moving Average: $18.0 -$1.55
Short-Term Oscillator: 96% Over Bought
Intermediate Oscillator:   82% Over Bought

2017 Year-to-Date Ranked Returns:
GDXJ +12%
GDX +7%
SLV +4%
NASDAQ 100 +4%
GLD +2%
S&P 500 +2%

If one listens to the talking heads and Street strategists, one gets the impression
that Trump is going to make everyone rich. Only question to be answered is
which company and stock will be made the most rich by Trump. For you see,
all risk according to this group has been eliminated in the stock market. Reality
just might be something different. That type of thinking has always been dangerous.

With a third U.S. interest rate increase now expected, likely in March, risk in
the NASDAQ 100 continues to be -18%.  Pain U.S. equities should increase
throughout the year. With bonds already moving into a bear market,
Gold is the one asset with potential for the coming year.

Posted a new web cast above.

19 December 2016

$Gold: $1,139  
% Change Year Ago: + 7%
200-Day Moving Average   $1,277   -$138
Short-Term Oscillator:   20% Over Sold
Intermediate Oscillator:  22%   Over Sold
Buy signal remains in effect

$Silver:   $15.95
% Change Year Ago: +13%                        
200-Day Moving Average: $17.9 -$1.99
Short-Term Oscillator: 1% Over Sold!
Intermediate Oscillator:   39% Neutral, Moving to Over Sold

Most effective tool for managing your acquisition of Gold over time has been
the ratio of price of $Gold to the value of the S&P 500. Currently, that ratio
is 0.504. Last time that ratio was at that level was in 2007, when Gold
was rising from under $800.

That ratio, using data back to 1945, can be used to assess the probability
of that ratio rising. Or, probability that $Gold will perform better than U.S.
stock market.                
Probability = 77%

Only reasonable conclusion is that investors should own, buy, Gold and
sell U.S. stocks. Most vulnerable sector is the NASDAQ 100 leaders.

Recent web cast at this link:

Schmidt 7 April
GOLDMONEY

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