The Value View Gold Report
The premier newsletter on Gold. Published monthly and delivered to you by email.
We cover Gold in U.S. $, Canadian $, Euros, British Pounds, Chinese Yuan, and Indian Rupee.
Analytical facts only, to aid you in buying Gold.

We are Bullish on Gold!

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Ned's latest webcast can he heard at
this link:
Gold Stocks Could Rise "50%" by January
Ned's Random Gold Thoughts
can be found at the bottom.

Ned's Random Gold Thoughts

Our Basic Position
From the lows of July, Gold is a double and Silver is a triple.

25 September 2015

$Gold:   $1,145
Signal Oscillator:   81%   Overbought
200-Day Moving Average:   $1,179
Important Resistance:    $1,161
One Year % Change:   -6%

$Silver:   $15.1
Signal Oscillator:   76%   Moving to Overbought
200-Day Moving Average:   $16.0
Important Resistance:   $15.6
One Year % Change:   -13%

Both Gold and Silver continue to build a base from the Summer lows. Selling by
funds should be near complete by end of month, next Wednesday.  For weeks funds
have been eliminating exposure to Gold, Silver, and Gold stocks. They now hold very
little of any of those. That means rather than being a source of supply they could
become a source of demand in the months ahead.

Gold, Silver, and Gold stocks are now set up for a strong move between now
and middle of January.

18 September 2015

$Gold:   $1,138
Signal Oscillator:   100%   Overbought(Normal reading for a rally.)
200-Day Moving Average:   $1,180

$Silver:   $15.25
Signal Oscillator:   100%    Overbought(Normal reading for a rally.)
200-Day Moving Average:    $16.04

As is often said, Christmas came early this year. FOMC, despite all the talk,
remains committed to low interest rates until inflation rise. Or we can rephrase
that to FOMC is committed to low interest rates till Gold is dramatically
higher. Gold now has a Yellen put, meaning Federal Reserve policy
is now supportive of Gold.

Important resistance for cash Gold:    $1,161
Important resistance for Silver:    $15.6

And finally, just love an incompetent group of bird brained academics in charge of
monetary policy.

11 September 2015
We are working on the September letter which will go out on Tuesday.
Research for that letter concludes:

4 September 2015

$Gold:   $1,120
Signal Oscillator:   22%   Oversold
200-day Moving Average:   $1,185

$Silver:   $14.6
Signal Oscillator:   48% Neutral
200-day Moving Average:   $16.1

Returns from 31 July:
NASDAQ 100:   -9%
$Gold:   +2%
$Silver:   -2%

Anyway you slice it, stocks are collapsing. Epicenter of that collapse is
NASDAQ 100, all that techno junk the Street has been pushing on investors
for years. U.S. stock market may have passed through a major discontinuity,
a break with the past. Gold clearly has become the better investment,
and will likely continue to do so.

$Gold likely to trigger a buy signal next week on Signal Oscillator.
Silver is simply more resilient. Strength in Silver is impressive in that
sellers do not seem able to crush it.

Federal Reserve should raise rates next week, though many members
prefer to support the Street. However, the strength in the dollar and higher
U.S. rates would raise the already high risk in the dollar denominated debt market
around the globe. Somewhere out there in the world is a bank or big borrower
that has dollar denominated debt with rising interest rate that they cannot pay back.
Where is that ticking financial time bomb?

28 August 2015
This weekend is a writing weekend as Trading Thoughts goes
out on Sunday. Will be back here next week.

21 August 2015

$Gold: $1,158
Signal Oscillator:   97%    Overbought
200-Day Moving Average:   $1,188
28 Days since $Gold bottom
$Gold an absolute buy under $1,200

$Silver:   $15.4
Signal Oscillator:   81%    Overbought
200-Day Moving Average:   $16.2
28 Days since $Silver bottom
Silver an absolute buy under $17

With stock markets collapsing, $Gold found a bottom. Collapse of the high
flying garbage in the NASDAQ 100 is impressive, and indicates a systemic
problem in the U.S. stock market. U.S. dollar is losing ground against other
important currencies such yen, pound, and Euro. Popular forecast of past
few months has been that the Euro was going to parity, Euro = $1. Sorry
forecasters, you were wrong. Euro = $1.1299. Dollar rally starting to weaken.

That all said, both could move laterally to ease over bought conditions.

Both $Gold and $Silver are buys at these prices.

$Gold will double from the low and $Silver will triple.

We have updated the sample newsletters above.

7 August 2015
$Gold:   $1,095
Signal Oscillator:   35% neutral
Days since bottom:   15 days
$Gold is absolute buy under $1,200

$Silver:   $14.9
Signal Oscillator:   50% neutral
Days since bottom:   15 days
$Silver is absolute buy under $17

Of interest is what is not happening. For some time we have seen Gold weaken
materially at 4am EDT. That seems to be happening less and less, and with
less power. Today the U.S. labor report came out and it should have sent
Gold down. It did, but only for a very short time and as we
write Gold is up for the day.

Other positive development is the collapse this week of the big NASDAQ favorites. For
some time these fantasy stocks have been immune to reality. This week reality arrived,
and it hurt them bad. Was enjoyable smelling that garbage burning. Gold is the contra
asset to stocks, and stocks are headed for rougher times, not better times.

25 July 2015
$Gold:   $1,099
Oscillator:   12%   Wildly Over Sold!
200-day Moving Average:   $1,193
$Gold a Buy under $1,200

$Silver:   $14.7
Oscillator:   18%   Over Sold!
200-day Moving Average:    $16.4

Had no idea a rogue trader in China would spoil our week. That sure happened.
Now the Street firmly believes that China’s economy is on the verge of crashing
into oblivion. If China is going to “disappear”, then obviously all commodities
are going to zero. Chinese citizens will not ever eat again or every buy
another measure of Gold. Hmmm. Could reality be actually different?

With emotions running to an extreme last week, $Gold is now priced for a double. One
needs to look at the risk reward on $Gold. Downside may be $995 while the upside
perhaps $2,200 in two years. With that set of possibilities, Gold is an absolute BUY!

$Gold is priced as it was in 2007.

Read at this link:

$Gold: Year 2007 Again  
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